“It is considered a great heresy to separate one thing from everything else.” Hello colleagues! Any hot phase of conflict is preceded by a phase of accumulation of contradictions and disputes. Let’s use the stock chart (LSE:BA) of the British arms company BAE Systems Plc (Headquartered in London, UK, BAE is the largest defense contractor in Europe and one of the biggest defense companies in the world. (the largest in Europe and one of the largest in the world. )) to analyze past events and current realities. Annual plan with MM-Lines, parabola and period designations (description of events under the graph): 1st period (1988 – 1991). The collapse of the USSR, the signing of the Belovezhskaya Accords on December 8, 1991. The main enemy in the Cold War was broken into a scattering of states that plunged into an economic crisis. As many weapons as produced are not needed. The company’s shares sank by 85%, v.3 in the expansion model was formed by Operation Desert Storm – the liberation of Kuwait January 17 – February 28, 1991 (1st period, monthly plan), all opponents defeated: 2nd period (1992 – 1999). Yugoslav Crisis (not just this war), – Bosnian War (March 1, 1992 – December 14, 1995) (In October 1992, 2,400 British troops deployed to Bosnia and Croatiaunder Operation ‘Grapple’ and became operational in November.) was the most destructive in Europe since the Second World War. The demand for weapons increased dramatically and shares flew into the sky (highs in 1998 + 1870% from the bottom, were broken 16 years later, in 2016), the apogee was the operation “Allied Force” ( NATO bombing of Yugoslavia) March 24 – June 10, 1999. There was a period of calm … 3rd period (2000 – 2002). The change of power in Russia in 2000, the dot-com crisis, the famous BBC interview in March 2000 with Putin (then acting president) in which he “does not object to Russia joining NATO” on an equal footing. Elections on March 26, victory, attempts to find compromises with Western partners, the company’s shares fell by 83%. 4th period (2003 – 2007). War in Iraq March 20, 2003 (On 20 March 2003, a United States-led international coalition – which included Britain – launched an invasion of Iraq.) including Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania bordering Russia. Since 2007, Russia has again begun long-range patrols using Tu-95 bombers. Patrol routes repeatedly passed in the vicinity of British airspace, where they were escorted by British fighters. It is necessary to provide new NATO members with modern weapons and start a confrontation with the Russian Federation: growth: + 453% 5th period (2008 – 2011). The economic crisis of 2008 gave a respite at the beginning of a new round of confrontation (the company’s shares sank by 52%). The complication of relations between Russia and NATO in early 2008 caused the alliance to discuss the appeals of Ukraine and Georgia to join the NATO Membership Action Plan (MAP). The Kharkiv agreements were signed between Russia and Ukraine on April 21, 2010, the term for the Black Sea Fleet in Crimea was extended until 2042. The 6th period (2012 -). Growing tensions and the hot phase of the conflict. Monthly plan (the impulse is described by a strong expansion pattern from the beginning of the trend with a broken target line): November 28-29, 2013 at the Vilnius Eastern Partnership Summit, Yanukovych refused to sign the Association Agreement with the EU. December 17, 2013 Russia will give Ukraine $15 billion and will reduce the price of gas by a third (a $3 billion loan was given through bonds). Acute phase of unrest in Ukraine, Maidan, February 2014 Change of power. (a) Referendum in Crimea on 16 March 2014. Armed conflict in Donbas since April 14, 2014. (b) 12 February 2015 Minsk Implementation Package, Second Minsk Agreement. © 2015. The new version of the UK security strategy includes Russia in the list of priority threats. (d) Brexit June 23, 2016. December 21, 2017: Johnson said that now it is impossible to talk about resetting relations with Russia. (e) 4 March 2018, the poisoning of Sergei Skripal and his daughter Yulia in Salisbury. (f) June 4 – July 15, 2018 2018 FIFA World Cup in Russia On October 8, 2020, the meeting of the President of the sovereign country Zelensky with the British intelligence service Mi-6 in London. On November 10, 2020, NATO countries increased the intensity of aviation and navy maneuvers despite Russia’s proposal to reduce activity during the coronavirus pandemic, Russian President Vladimir Putin said. June 22, 2021 Britain and Ukraine agreed on the construction of warships July 6, 2021 The main strategic partner of Ukraine is the UK – Danilov (Secretary of the National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine). On October 12, 2020, the UK will help Ukraine create two naval bases – deputy head of the OP Zhovkva. On October 21, 2021, for the first time, the UK is negotiating with Ukraine on the sale of weapons, The Times reports, citing a Ukrainian diplomat. (g) Decree of the President of the Russian Federation No. 71 dated February 21, 2022 “On the recognition of the Donetsk People’s Republic” (h) On February 24, 2022, Russian President Vladimir Putin issued an urgent appeal to citizens and announced the start of a military operation in Donbass. In the moment: +330% from the previous low. – Returning to the epigraph: “It is considered a great heresy to separate one thing from everything else.” Everything is connected to everything. If we know what object we are working with, we can evaluate other events by its behavior. For this object, a strong increase in the value of shares means a military conflict or an increase in tension and preparation for hostilities in which the UK is interested. Reduction, peace, agreements (how everything reacts to the economic crisis, epidemic). Previously, our colleague made an analysis of the following objects: From the fall of the German Empire to the possible collapse of modern Germany according to the wheat price chart. Events in Ukraine according to the CNN frequency chart. cart: https://t.me/Tactica_Adversa chat cart: https://t.me/Tactica_Adversa_Chat

Show CommentsClose Comments

Leave a comment